Whats an expected mileage I can expect?
Hi Matt!
I'm not sure this is answerable in quantifiable terms. As the tire wears, the contact surface area broadens (less tread = more slick) which should actually reduce the
rate of wear. However, carbon black is highly wear-resistant, and once you wear through that into the "blue" underlayer (which is more pliable but less wear-resistant), the rate of wear should increase.
Jobst Brandt proved long ago (with Avocet tires) that tread does *not* help wet-road traction (in other words, a bicycle is not subject to hydroplaning in the same way as a car), so if your use is on pavement, and unloaded, you should be able to safely use the tires as Schwalbe recommend. I'm guessing, however, that you'll be come subject to more flats as the tread thins and becomes less subject to penetration by sharp objects.
I'd run 'em till I started getting more frequent flats, then retire 'em and get new. If I were going on-tour, I'd buy and mount new ones before departure.
My two cents, adjusted for inflation.
Dan. (...who, likewise, never um, "tires" of this topic
)