Hi Martin!
I've been following your speed trials with greatest interest, and you've surely done a fine job of back-to-back trialing, holding factors as constant as possible. Well done! You've done really well, and have been very good to share the results with us.
Not intended in any way as a criticism of your work; just a general observation: It surely is hard to conduct such trials with really rigorous methodology. That is a problem that has bedeviled trainers and kinesiologists since sport began -- how can one possibly hold constant for the human factor? Yes, erg meters and strain gauges on hubs and cranks help, as does indoors testing to compensate for wind and slope and such, but mood can play a factor as well. Back in my uni days, I considered my 8.9km morning commute (76-100km coming home so I would get a good day ride in) a time trial of sorts, and I loved seeing if I could deliberately knock even a few seconds off it (side-drafting city buses helped a
lot!). Oddly enough (sans bus-drafting), on exam days I was fastest; that's when my mind was occupied, and I
didn't pay much attention to form and such and had the lowest point-to-point times. So, that said, I think you've done especially well on your own comparisons. Again, well done!
In some ways, I'm not to surprised at the results.
Though all my bikes have had drop handlebars and derailleur gearing and my position is the same on each, they vary greatly in weight and specific configuration. Some "feel" much faster/more sprightly than others. Regardless,
I find my average speed to be nearly identical on all, given similar weather/wind conditions and terrain. My variance in speed is very similar to yours. It is only when I deliberately set out on a "speed run" that any difference emerges, and that could be due to variance in my efforts between bikes for any number of reasons.
Jags and I have talked about this in our off-Forum correspondence and have concluded we each ride about the same
speed regardless of which bike we're on.
The real difference is in perceived feel and comfort. After riding a loaded touring bike, a sport-tourer or racing bike feels like a rocketship. I just "know" my rando bike is faster than Sherpa...until I look at my times, which are nearly identical. 'Bar types aren't a factor for me; I still prefer drop handlebars for how my wrists, elbows, and shoulders are configured (plus they're familiar to me after decades of use), and I feel like I'm making more headway when I go onto the drops into a headwind and "ride inside my elbows" -- even if it doesn't make much difference at my usual speeds.
Martin, in looking at your data, I do notice your highest speeds were with drops handlebars. While the difference is miniscule for the tourist at touring speeds, it would surely be significant in a timed trial or perhaps at racing speeds on a road course. I fully agree, using the bar-ends on straight handlebars most effectively would effectively eliminate any practical difference between them and drops. You're moving right along at ~24kph/15mph, but don't forget drag increases as the square of velocity -- the faster one goes, proportionately more energy is required to do so -- a lot more. The differences you've found at what are generally regarded to be pretty good touring speeds would be much greater at sustained racing speeds. For example, the long (around 200km) relatively flat early stages of the Tour de France are designed specifically for sprinters and are ridden at remarkably fast speeds often averaging ~45kph/28mph. That's nearly twice your test average and is really humming.
Extrapolating further, I had always expected to really feel a difference when riding with panniers and a handlebar bag -- I thought it would be huge, given they result in a drag coefficient approximating that of a barn door flat-face to the wind (Cd = 1.0 in that case). Yet...I must be pretty insensitive to it or somehow adjust unconsciously, because my speed on the flats doesn't drop as much as I would expect compared to riding unladen. Similarly, when I remove my heavy panniers, it feels like I have jet-assist on the unladen bike...yet my speeds remain pretty much the same.
When you wrote...
I have other issues with flat bars, but now I no longer consider that the speed reduction over drops is important for touring type rides.
...I agree completely!
Again, very nice work, Martin!
All the best,
Dan.